{"id":1544,"date":"2022-01-12T09:21:58","date_gmt":"2022-01-12T09:21:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/?p=1544"},"modified":"2022-01-12T09:21:58","modified_gmt":"2022-01-12T09:21:58","slug":"hopes-not-predictions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/hopes-not-predictions\/","title":{"rendered":"Hopes Not Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Another year, another blog; welcome to 2022; the Cog Blog\u2019s ninth year of (almost) weekly witterings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fashionable thing to do would be to fill this post with forecasts of the year to come. I don\u2019t do this for two reasons. First, things are so topsy-turvy who knows, secondly it\u2019s easy to check back 12 months later to my embarrassment and everyone else\u2019s general merriment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>More of us should check back on the accuracy of the predictions that those braver (or more foolhardy) than me choose to make.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So \u2013 no predictions. But like everyone I have hopes, ambitions for the industry. Things that I would like to see happen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here are some hopes for 2022 \u2013 future posts will build on these.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 1: We get back to simplicity, to being creative.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We enter 2022 at a pretty low ebb. Advertising is generally not liked by those to whom it is supposed to appeal. The main reason for this \u2013 to my untutored creative eye &#8211; is that most of it, especially the online stuff is shit. Not clever, not creative, not appealing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the search for excessively narrow targeting, reach, frequency caps, clicks, likes and other largely irrelevant concepts we\u2019ve forgotten what \u2018creativity\u2019 looks like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019ve forgotten the appeal of simplicity; we overcomplicate. We seem to think our value lies in speaking in a language understood by the very few.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 2: Less prattle, more precision.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Next up, we\u2019ve forgotten to ask what things mean. Take \u2018frequency caps\u2019, the notion that consumers can indeed get tired of seeing the same thing over and over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But what do we mean by \u2018seen\u2019? Or indeed \u2018get tired of\u2019? Or (come to that) \u2018consumers\u2019?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>My time with Millward Brown taught me that ads wear-out amongst brand teams far faster than amongst consumers; true wear-out (in old-fashioned media) is rare as the budget necessary to achieve such an outcome would be beyond most brands.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mind you, it may very well be that having your online experience disrupted by yet another ad for the very thing you bought last week may make wear-out a thing. We\u2019ll know when some \u2018digital expert\u2019 thinks of a new term for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 3: Less self-interest, more collaboration to deliver business goals.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Next, the concept of NIMS. NIMS is a relation of NIMBY; it stands for Not In My Specialism.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A state of NIMS is achieved when everyone talks about collaborating, but on condition that their particular specialism drives the collaboration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Take online evangelists, many of whom preach the benefits of working with creative people, but only as long as their obsession with clicks and likes remains sacrosanct.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Media agencies are guilty too: they\u2019re all for that 90-second video spectacular as long as there are 5-second cut-downs to ensure the targets measured by the auditor are hit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We should focus more on business results. Media numbers are a means to an end, not an end in themselves.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 4: If you\u2019ve got something to say, say it.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I saw an article recently quoting agency leaders \u2018talking anonymously\u2019 about Facebook and Google.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why? Are we all now so worried about what we might call the Baxter effect (after IPG\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/welcome-back-to-the-past\/\">Mat Baxter who was censored by his CEO<\/a> for daring to say something critical about Facebook) that we just accept any old rubbish as long as it comes from someone powerful enough?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And whilst I\u2019m at it, online pseudonyms are tedious. The usual excuse \u2013 \u2018I couldn\u2019t say what I say if I revealed who I am\u2019 doesn\u2019t cut it. If you\u2019re that important then what you have to say carries weight, so all the more reason to say it out loud, as something may change as a result. If on the other hand you don\u2019t truly believe in whatever it is you\u2019re saying then why bother saying it?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 5: Let\u2019s focus on what truly matters, even if it doesn\u2019t involve a trip to Cannes or Las Vegas.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Next \u2013 my pet topic: audience measurement. Frankly if you think that debating how we go about measuring audiences is not worthy of your attention as it\u2019s neither sexy nor shiny you\u2019re wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Most things start with understanding an audience. If we don\u2019t get that bit right by insisting on the highest standards, and commonly agreed definitions and techniques then we may as well not bother with the rest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 6: More truly international advertisers committing to doing it differently.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Independent, and independent-thinking media agencies will continue to flourish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It will be fascinating to see what happens when (not if) the likes of Stagwell (the new owners of Goodstuff) or You and Mr Jones win something high profile across markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We need new blood, new approaches, new ways of working, not more platitudes from the same old voices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 7: Tactics aren\u2019t the same as a strategy.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A single placement or stunt may be wonderful, but it isn\u2019t a strategy. Some commentators on all things advertising seem not to appreciate the difference. Words matter. Getting it wrong diminishes us all.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Hope 8: That you\u2019ll stick with The Cog Blog throughout the coming year.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Well, 7 out of 8 ain\u2019t bad.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Another year, another blog; welcome to 2022; the Cog Blog\u2019s ninth year of (almost) weekly witterings. The fashionable thing to do would be to fill this post with forecasts of the year to come. I don\u2019t do this for two reasons. First, things are so topsy-turvy who knows, secondly it\u2019s easy to check back 12 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1544"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1544"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1544\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1545,"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1544\/revisions\/1545"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1544"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1544"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bjanda.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1544"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}